RSI(2) strategy explainedIntermediate
Larry Connors' short-term pullback rule for index markets.
The idea
In a long-term uptrend, short sharp dips tend to bounce. A 2-period RSI is very sensitive, so a reading under 10 marks an extreme short-term dip.
The rules
- Price above the 200-day SMA.
- Buy when RSI(2) drops below
- Exit when RSI(2) rises above
- A wide stop, for example 3 ATR, protects against crashes.
Variations traders use
Buying in parts as RSI falls further, using RSI below 5, or exiting when price closes above the 5-day moving average.
What testing shows
On stock index markets this rule has a long, well-documented history of working, though with fewer trades and occasional sharp losses. On forex and commodities it is much weaker.
What it looks like on a real chart
Picked automatically from the backtest on real data: the latest winner and the latest loser. The numbered circles are the steps of the rules, in order. Losers are part of every strategy.
How WickCheck tests it
Buy when RSI(2) crosses below 10 and price is above the 200 SMA. Exit when RSI(2) crosses above 70. Stop at 3x ATR.
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